Early Warning System
Monitor trends en scenario’s
Understand the impact and urgency of trends
Understand the probability of scenarios
Understand the relevance of strategic options
Engage in a strategic dialog
Get to know our tools
Early Warning System
Quickly respond to change
The unique online Early Warning System makes the outside world tangible. The tool aids organizations in monitoring the outside world in real time. The Early Warning System enables you to learn from your environment and to prepare your organization for the future. This makes you more responsive to changes and better equipped to quickly adjust your business model or strategy!
Keep monitoring your scenarios
The foundation of the Early Warning System is formed by the critical uncertainties for your organization. These are unpredictable developments with great impact on which the scenarios are built. The tool lets you connect change indicators to these critical uncertainties. Regularly monitoring these indicators provides insight into which uncertainties and scenarios are coming closer and thus are becoming more relevant. Important information to timely adjust your strategy and quickly act.
Certainties and uncertainties
A trend is a pattern of gradual change. You know the direction of this change.
An uncertainty is a change in the environment. But the direction or the pace of the change is uncertain.
Your early warning system in 5 steps
Step 1: Define monitoring needs
Determine the key external uncertainties, trends and/or scenarios that you want to monitor.
Step 2: Generate key change indicators
For each of the key uncertainties, several key change indicators are defined. Key change indicators cover certain aspects or parts of the overarching key uncertainty.
Step 3: Compose your expert panel
The expert panel provides you with insight information on how key change indicators develop over time. This panel is always custom made and consists of experts from different fields. You can choose to compile your own panel or have us assist you in this process.
Step 4: Select dashboard items
Choose your own dashboard items. The dashboard visualizes the changing probability of scenarios, the changing probability of key uncertainties, the composition of your expert panel etc. Depending on your wishes, we determine which dashboard items from our selection of 30+ graphs will be included and shown in your Early Warning tool.
Step 5: Discuss the findings
Share the results of the Early Warning System on the community and discuss the implications for your business model or strategy.
Stay ahead by monitoring your external environment and act in time
Overview of functionality
Send survey invitations from our tool
Invitations are sent by email
Experts get a personal link to the survey
Present the scenario’s and dashboard to the experts
Send reminders to experts who didn’t respond
Early warning dashboard
Compose your own dashboard from our selection of 30+ graphs
Probability of scenario’s
Probability of key uncertainties and indicators
Relevance of strategic choices and options
Compare years or different groups of respondents
Composition of the expert panel
Consensus about probability of indicators
Share new developments and reports on the blog
Discuss the results of the early warning monitor
Ask the community for their opinion
Comment on articles
Insight in website use provided by Google Analytics
Download all survey answers to Excel-spreadsheet
Daily or weekly updates by email, with the newest posts and responses
Update is automatically sent to all members
Members can adjust the frequency of the alerts or sign out
Overview of latest blog posts
Overview of latest comments
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